STRATEGY 02 Volatility Breakouts NIFTY 50 (M5) PROFILE: STANDARD_BALANCED

⚡ Compression-Expansion Breakout

Capitalizing on volatility compression coiling into explosive directional expansion following volatility cycle physics.

Win Rate
64.2%
Backtested
Profit Factor
2.41
Net Edge
Min Entry Score
0.68
Quality Gate
Runner Score
0.75
Threshold

🏛️ Institutional SMC Logic & Auction Market Thesis

Volatility is strictly cyclical: periods of extreme compression inevitably precede violent directional expansions. When ATR and Bollinger Bandwidth pinch to historical lows, institutions accumulate silently before triggering an explosive breakout bar that expands range.

Permitted Market Regimes: COMPRESSION EXPANSION TREND_UP TREND_DOWN CHOPPY

🔍 Phase 1: 1. Volatility Pinch

ATR contracts below 75% of 20-period average; multiple consecutive narrow range candles.

Active Structural Pivot
Compression Box High: 24,540.0
M5 Benchmark Level
Risk Geometry (SL)
18.0 - 24.0 Spot Pts
Capped by Max Risk Cap
Composite Entry Score
82.0% Conviction
Quality Gate Passed
Adaptive Scaling Profile
STANDARD_BALANCED
Dynamic High-Watermark

⚙️ Quantitative Quality Gates & Entry Scoring Filters

The strategy enforces strict fail-fast validation before computing the multi-factor confluence score:

Filter / Quality Gate Condition & Mathematical Threshold Operational Impact & Protection
Coil ATR Compression Coil Range <= 0.85x ATR (Mandatory) Validates genuine pre-breakout pinch
Breakout Bar Body Ratio Candle Body >= 60% of total range Eliminates indecision wicks
Breakout Volume Surge RVOL >= 1.40x (+0.10 Score) Confirms institutional ignition
Box Range Bound Box Range <= 40.0 points Keeps initial stop-loss within risk budget
Directional Close Close completely beyond box boundary Prevents intraday wick traps

🛑 Risk Geometry & Profit Booking Execution

Stop-Loss Geometry: Opposite side of compression box or midpoint of the expansion breakout candle + 3.0 pts buffer. Maximum risk cap: 25.0 points.
Profit Booking & Scaling: STANDARD_BALANCED profile: 50% partial at +1.5R, 30% partial at +2.5R, 20% runner with dynamic 65% profit floor retention.
Position Sizing Protocol: Strictly allocated in integer multiples of 65 shares (NIFTY default) or configured LOT_SIZE. Fractional lots are mathematically rounded up/down to preserve exchange execution validity.

🎯 Option Strike & Greeks Architecture

Strike Selection Rule: ATM strike (Delta ~0.50) on non-expiry days; ATM ± 50 pts on expiry days. Tuesday weekly maturity.
Weekly Expiry Cycle: Matures on Tuesday (or preponed to Monday if Tuesday is an official NSE exchange holiday). Automated holiday shift handled via ExchangeCalendar.
Codebase Implementation: Class: CompressionExpansionStrategy
Source File: nifty_expansion_runner/strategies/compression_expansion.py