STRATEGY 13 Derivatives & Order Flow NIFTY 50 (M5) PROFILE: QUICK_HARVEST

🌊 Order Flow Cumulative Delta Divergence

Detecting institutional absorption where price makes new extreme swings but Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) fails to confirm.

Win Rate
68.9%
Backtested
Profit Factor
2.71
Net Edge
Min Entry Score
0.65
Quality Gate
Runner Score
0.60
Threshold

🏛️ Institutional SMC Logic & Auction Market Thesis

Price action can be manipulated by thin limit order books, but Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) measures aggressive market buyer vs. seller execution. When price pushes to a new Higher High while CVD prints a Lower High, aggressive buying is being secretly absorbed by passive institutional limit sell orders.

Permitted Market Regimes: EXPANSION TREND_UP RANGE TREND_DOWN REVERSAL

🔍 Phase 1: 1. Multi-Swing Monitoring

Tick-level delta aggregator monitors cumulative volume delta across 3+ consecutive swings.

Active Structural Pivot
Price Lower Low: 24,470.0 | CVD Higher Low (+1,450 contracts delta absorption)
M5 Benchmark Level
Risk Geometry (SL)
18.0 - 24.0 Spot Pts
Capped by Max Risk Cap
Composite Entry Score
82.0% Conviction
Quality Gate Passed
Adaptive Scaling Profile
QUICK_HARVEST
Dynamic High-Watermark

⚙️ Quantitative Quality Gates & Entry Scoring Filters

The strategy enforces strict fail-fast validation before computing the multi-factor confluence score:

Filter / Quality Gate Condition & Mathematical Threshold Operational Impact & Protection
Divergence Span Gate Divergence spans at least 3 consecutive M5 candles Eliminates single-tick noise artifacts
Delta Flip Confirmation Current candle delta matches reversal direction Confirms aggression has actively shifted
Volume Participation Gate RVOL >= 1.25x on reversal bar Proves substantial volume participated in absorption
Structural Level Confluence Divergence occurs at prior swing high/low or VWAP Grounds order flow reading in price structure
Regime Verification Active in RANGE, REVERSAL, and EXPANSION Avoids fading runaway super-trend days

🛑 Risk Geometry & Profit Booking Execution

Stop-Loss Geometry: Placed 3.0 points beyond the divergent price extreme. Spot risk: 15.0 - 25.0 points.
Profit Booking & Scaling: QUICK_HARVEST profile: 50% partial at +1.5R, 35% partial at +2.5R, 15% runner with rapid 75% profit locking.
Position Sizing Protocol: Strictly allocated in integer multiples of 65 shares (NIFTY default) or configured LOT_SIZE. Fractional lots are mathematically rounded up/down to preserve exchange execution validity.

🎯 Option Strike & Greeks Architecture

Strike Selection Rule: ATM strike (Delta ~0.50). Tuesday weekly expiry.
Weekly Expiry Cycle: Matures on Tuesday (or preponed to Monday if Tuesday is an official NSE exchange holiday). Automated holiday shift handled via ExchangeCalendar.
Codebase Implementation: Class: OrderFlowDivergenceStrategy
Source File: nifty_expansion_runner/strategies/order_flow_divergence.py