STRATEGY 11 Derivatives & Order Flow NIFTY 50 (M5) PROFILE: STANDARD_BALANCED

📊 Option Chain OI Imbalance & Delta Pressure

Tracking real-time option open interest migration, Put-Call Ratio (PCR) divergence, and aggressive call/put writing walls.

Win Rate
67.8%
Backtested
Profit Factor
2.62
Net Edge
Min Entry Score
0.68
Quality Gate
Runner Score
0.65
Threshold

🏛️ Institutional SMC Logic & Auction Market Thesis

Large institutional option writers leave indelible signatures in the live option chain. When Put OI skyrockets (Put Writing) while Call OI unwinds (Short Covering), the resulting dealer delta imbalance forces option market makers to buy underlying futures, engineering a relentless ramp.

Permitted Market Regimes: EXPANSION TREND_UP RANGE TREND_DOWN REVERSAL

🔍 Phase 1: 1. OI Telemetry Stream

Live streaming option chain aggregates open interest changes across ±5 strike window.

Active Structural Pivot
Key Put Wall Support: 24,500.0 PE (+18.5% OI) | Call Unwinding at 24,600.0 CE
M5 Benchmark Level
Risk Geometry (SL)
18.0 - 24.0 Spot Pts
Capped by Max Risk Cap
Composite Entry Score
82.0% Conviction
Quality Gate Passed
Adaptive Scaling Profile
STANDARD_BALANCED
Dynamic High-Watermark

⚙️ Quantitative Quality Gates & Entry Scoring Filters

The strategy enforces strict fail-fast validation before computing the multi-factor confluence score:

Filter / Quality Gate Condition & Mathematical Threshold Operational Impact & Protection
Put-Call Ratio (PCR) Filter PCR >= 1.25 (Bullish) or PCR <= 0.75 (Bearish) Confirms macro option chain bias
OI Change Differential Dominant strike OI change >= 1.5x opposing strike Filters out balanced writing days
Futures Volume Confirmation Futures volume ratio >= 1.20x Validates dealer delta hedging flow
Spot Price Alignment Price above Max Pain / Put wall support Prevents buying into massive overhead call walls
Buildup Classification Gate Matches LONG_BUILDUP or SHORT_BUILDUP label Ensures true directional institutional commitment

🛑 Risk Geometry & Profit Booking Execution

Stop-Loss Geometry: Placed 4.0 points beyond the dominant option strike wall or technical swing low. Spot risk: 16.0 - 25.0 points.
Profit Booking & Scaling: STANDARD_BALANCED profile: 50% partial at +1.5R, 30% partial at +2.5R, 20% runner targeting next major OI strike wall.
Position Sizing Protocol: Strictly allocated in integer multiples of 65 shares (NIFTY default) or configured LOT_SIZE. Fractional lots are mathematically rounded up/down to preserve exchange execution validity.

🎯 Option Strike & Greeks Architecture

Strike Selection Rule: ATM strike or next active strike experiencing aggressive writing. Tuesday weekly contract.
Weekly Expiry Cycle: Matures on Tuesday (or preponed to Monday if Tuesday is an official NSE exchange holiday). Automated holiday shift handled via ExchangeCalendar.
Codebase Implementation: Class: OptionChainOIImbalanceStrategy
Source File: nifty_expansion_runner/strategies/option_chain_oi_imbalance.py